Top 3 College Football Bets for CFB Conference Championship Games

The weekend of conference title games has arrived in college football, bringing tight betting lines and intense storylines where even small advantages can be crucial. Here are three carefully considered bets for this weekends matchups, based on team dynamics, injuries, and statistical projections. Odds are provided by BetMGM.

SEC Championship: No. 3 Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5, 47.5) vs. No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide

Beating a strong opponent twice is always challenging, and Alabama's close win at Auburn has led to underestimation by the market. Last weeks high-profile matchup created misleading narratives around RB Jam Millers injury and WR Ryan Williams limited involvement. While these issues disrupted Alabamas offensive flow, they do not significantly lower the teams potential.

On a neutral field, Alabama is essentially a 0.2-point favorite, indicating the underdog carries value. Georgia has performed more consistently recently, but metrics show vulnerabilities the Bulldogs rank fifth in the SEC in EPA per play, far below their usual standard. Against Georgia Tech, they relied heavily on the run and passed for only 70 yards, raising questions about their big-play ability. Alabama possesses more high-end talent and diverse options to win.

Bet: Alabama Moneyline (+115)

Mountain West Championship: UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos (-4.5, 58.5)

Boise States path to the championship was not without hurdles, but the preseason favorites reached the expected destination. An early-season loss to South Florida is less significant now, and QB Maddux Madsens expected return is a major boost. UNLVs consistent success under Barry Odom and Dan Mullen is impressive, but the talent gap remains.

While UNLV has been a strong program story, Boise States roster depth, quarterback advantage, and big-game experience give them a clear upper hand. With Madsen back, the Broncos have enough firepower to pull ahead.

Bet: Boise State -4.5 (-110)

Big Ten Championship: No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers vs. No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (-4, 47.5)

Before the matchup was set, projected lines had Ohio State as a 2.5-point favorite. Since then, Indiana has dominated Wisconsin and Purdue, pushing the spread to +4. Ohio State remains my top-ranked team, but this bet focuses on the line rather than rankings. A projection suggests a 25-23 Ohio State win, highlighting value on Indiana.

The Buckeyes should control play, but Indianas recent offensive improvements and the extended spread make the Hoosiers the smarter choice.

Bet: Indiana +4 (-105)

Author: Natalie Monroe